Wednesday 25 June 2008

New York Jets: Season Preview 2008


The New York Jets

The past few seasons have not been kind to the Jets; despite the continued failings of the Buffalo Bills and the Miami Dolphins, the emergence of a New England Patriots dynasty within the NFL (and more significantly to the Jets, the AFC East) has done little to cheer a franchise whose last (and only) SB visit was in 1968.

The hiring of Eric Mangini - a former Patriots employee - as Head Coach in 2006 resulted in almost immediate success, however a 10-6 regular season record only led to a 37-16 Wild Card playoff defeat to 'you know who'. Was it possible that fans of the Jets could get any more irked by the Patriots in 2007? It turned out it was, as after the Week One 38-14 loss to "you know who" the Spygate soap opera debuted.

The Coach

Entering his 3rd season, The Mangenius might start to see questions about his role (if not his nickname) within the franchise raised should the Jets succumb to another 4-12 season. Upstairs Mike Tannenbaum will be entering his 3rd season as General Manager and will be adding Executive Vice President to his ever-growing list of responsibilities (he will also be sitting on the newly formed NFL GM committee). Kevin O'Dea has been named Special Teams Coordinator after the excellent Mike Westhoff was forced to step down from the role due to medical reasons. Bill Callahan joins as Assistant Head Coach/Offensive Line Coach while, to the surprise of some, Bob Sutton remains as Defensive Coordinator.

2007 season

2007 was a season to largely forget for the Jets. A lackluster running game (19th in rushing yards a game, tied 22nd in yards per carry), a defence who couldn't stop the run (29th in Yards allowed per game), and the lingering question of if Clemens really is the Jets' QB of the future. On the plus side the 4-12 record did result in the 6th overall pick in the draft (Vernon Gholston), Cotchery had another productive season while the standout rookie season of David Harris should minimise the effect of the departure of Jonathan Vilma in the off-season.

Draft class of 2008

Round 1 - Vernon Gholston, DE, Ohio State
Round 1 - Dustin Keller, TE, Purdue
Round 4 - Dwight Lowery, CB, San Jose State
Round 5 - Erik Ainge, QB, Tennessee
Round 6 - Marcus Henry, WR, Kansas
Round 7 - Nate Garner, OT, Arkansas

New York's draft effectively started on February 29th when they traded away their 3rd and 5th round picks for monster DT/NT Kris Jenkins.

Draft day picks Gholston and Lowery add further dimensions to what was a poor 2007 defence and Keller should have a chance to start at TE. The offensive line wasn't addressed till the 7th round, but that was partly due to the 2008 free agent acquisitions of Alan Faneca and Damien Woody.

Strong side

With the talent available to Mangini the 2008 season shouldn't be a repeat of 2007. D'Brickashaw Ferguson, Nick Mangold, Faneca and Woody should provide a more than adequate offensive line. The 3-4 defence received significant upgrades in Gholston and Jenkins, the play of David Harris after Vilma suffered a season ending injury in week 7 was extremely encouraging and Kerry Rhodes is becoming one of the best safeties in the league - This team, on paper, isn't a 4-12 team.

Weak side

Despite a strong off-season there is still one position above all in which doubts may remain - Quarterback. Through a combination of injuries and the rest of the league figuring out how to deal with his game, James Chadwick Pennington has never managed to repeat his 2002 season. One of the brightest young QBs in 2002 was one of the highest paid backup QBs for much of the second half of the 2007 season. Kellen Clemens, the 2nd round pick in 2006, didn't do much to impress when he played and while it was only his first season (and only half a season at that) as starter 2008 might be the last chance either QB gets with the Jets.

On the TE front Chris Baker is aggrieved at his contract situation and has asked to be traded. Bubba Franks came off an injury plagued season at Green Bay and at 30 years old might only see limited action in a Jets uniform. A lot may be expected of Keller in his rookie year.

Major transactions

In:
TE Bubba Franks
OG Alan Faneca
OG Damien Woody
DT Kris Jenkins
LB Calvin Pace

Out:
WR Justin McCareins
LB Jonathan Vilma
DT Dewayne Robertson

2008 Schedule

2 Thu, Aug 7th, 2008 at Cleveland 07:30 PM Cleveland Browns Stadium
3 Sat, Aug 16th, 2008 Washington 07:00 PM Meadowlands
4 Sat, Aug 23rd, 2008 NY Giants 07:00 PM Meadowlands
5 Thu, Aug 28th, 2008 at Philadelphia 06:30 PM Lincoln Financial Field

1 Sun, Sep 7th, 2008 at Miami 01:00 PM Dolphin Stadium
2 Sun, Sep 14th, 2008 New England 04:15 PM Meadowlands
3 Mon, Sep 22nd, 2008 at San Diego 08:30 PM Qualcomm Stadium
4 Sun, Sep 28th, 2008 Arizona 01:00 PM Meadowlands
5 Bye
6 Sun, Oct 12th, 2008 Cincinnati 01:00 PM Meadowlands
7 Sun, Oct 19th, 2008 at Oakland 04:15 PM McAfee Coliseum
8 Sun, Oct 26th, 2008 Kansas City 01:00 PM Meadowlands
9 Sun, Nov 2nd, 2008 at Buffalo 01:00 PM Ralph Wilson Stadium
10 Sun, Nov 9th, 2008 St. Louis 01:00 PM Meadowlands
11 Thu, Nov 13th, 2008 at New England 08:15 PM Gillette Stadium
12 Sun, Nov 23rd, 2008 at Tennessee 01:00 PM LP Field
13 Sun, Nov 30th, 2008 Denver 01:00 PM Meadowlands
14 Sun, Dec 7th, 2008 at San Francisco 04:05 PM Monster Park
15 Sun, Dec 14th, 2008 Buffalo 01:00 PM Meadowlands
16 Sun, Dec 21st, 2008 at Seattle 04:05 PM Qwest Field
17 Sun, Dec 28th, 2008 Miami 01:00 PM Meadowlands

Fan view

Jets fan Iain Bartholomew's (rather lengthy!) view on why the 2008 season is “Kellen or Bust”.

The state of the Jets is, to put it simply, unknown. There are so many things that should work, but if they all do work it will be remarkable. Adding two new pieces to the offensive line ought to shore up the unit and allow whichever QB starts the time to be effective and opening up holes for the running game. In theory the offense should be above average, no matter who the QB is. Kellen Clemens, by the way, should be the QB. We know what we have in Chad Pennington and what we have is a great guy who will never be an elite QB in the NFL. In Clemens there is a chance that he flames out. Big deal - At least then we know he’s not a QB.As a fan I want to be excited by the offense and Clemens is the QB with the potential to be explosive (as opposed to Chad whose shoulder has the potential to explode).

For what it’s worth, I believe that Eric Mangini and Mike Tannenbaum are on the right track here. They have a clear plan and are executing it. They clearly misjudged matters last year and failed to shore up the offensive and defensive lines. They clearly don’t know whether Kellen Clemens is the QB he was drafted to be, else Chad Pennington would no longer be on the roster.

Jets fans do appear to be somewhat split between those who have seen too much to retain any real sense of optimism and those who believe we’re going in the right direction. For me, this seems to be a win-now team without a win-now QB. If neither Chad nor Kellen can step up and take the job then we’re in a lot of trouble. By the time a replacement is groomed or integrated it will be too late for the likes of Faneca, Woody, Barton, Jones, Ellis, Jenkins and Coles. That’s a lot of key elements to replace. That’s also why it has to be Kellen or bust in 2008.


Wide-Right's view

2008 could go either way for the Jets. A repeat of 2006 (10-6 and a Wild Card playoff appearance) is not totally out of the question, but then neither is a 5-11 season.

A lot will depend on the form of Clemens and/or Pennington and how well rookies (most notably Gholston) quickly adapt to life within the NFL. While New England aren’t going to implode any time soon, the fortunes of Buffalo and Miami will be a big factor in the Jets season.

Prediction for 2008

The Jets won’t finish first in the AFC East, nor in all likelihood will they finish last,a fairly average 8-8 season may be on the cards. A week 1 matchup at Miami may set the tone for the whole season and a surprise week two win against NE could do wonders for the whole season. A 0-2 record however heading into week 3 could be a sign of a long season to come.

Mangini survives the 2008 season, but the fortunes of 2009 offer no less uncertainty...

Useful links for Jets fans

Official site
Depth chart
TheGangGreen - fansite

1 comment:

IainRWB said...

It's pretty clear that the QB conundrum could make or break this season, but watch out for the defense which has an outside shot at becoming an elite unit. Harris and Rhodes are guys you have to gameplan for - a distinction notably absent from anyone on the offensive side of the ball.