Monday 14 July 2008

What Brett Favre's return means for Aaron Rodgers

As we made quite clear this weekend, the one person we have sympathy for in the whole Brett Favre Tragi-Comedy, is former first round pick Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers has spent three long years waiting for Favre to retire, and now, when he finally seems destined to become starter, his former mentor has expressed his desire to play for yet another season.

Rodgers has publicly been anointed the team's starter by GM Ted Thompson and Coach Mike McCarthy. Unfortunately, that was done before Favre said that he was '100% committed' to playing in 2008. Now that the Packers are becoming ambiguous on the subject, saying that should he return he would be 'considered an active part of the Packers', Rodgers must have the uneasy feeling that his job is far from secure. There is a chance that this is posturing on both sides, and that the team would prefer to move on without #4, but taken at face value, there would be little doubt that Favre would win any QB battle between himself and Rodgers.

So assuming that Favre comes back to the Packers, what does the future hold for Rodgers? Many have suggested that it's no big deal. After all, the guy has sat for three seasons, what will one more matter? Well, apart from the obvious - money earned from playing time and bonuses - Rodgers is getting towards the end of the five year deal he signed in 2005, so assuming that he didn't play this year, that leaves him the 2009 season to prove himself in the NFL. Again though, what price on the Favre question this time next year?

The team has drafted Brian Brohm, arguably a first round talent, and Rodgers may even find himself playing the last year of his contract with pressure from the former Louisville Quarterback. If Brohm gains the trust of the coaching staff, Rodgers would have a very small window to become acclimatised to the NFL. Four years on the bench is no substitute for four games in the league, and it could be argued that neither man has started a regular season game yet.

So what should Rodgers do? His best course of action would likely be to ask for a trade. He would be coveted by a number of teams who aren't convinced by their current incumbent, though if the Pack' demand anywhere near Rodgers' original first round value, that could be a stumbling block. It's still likely that at least one team would be happy to pay up for him though, and with Brohm on the roster, Green Bay may opt to cash in on at least one of their highly rated signal callers.

Unfortunately for Rodgers, he is a cheap insurance policy as far as Green Bay are concerned. He is scheduled to make just $680,000 this year, and even if he starts this season and next, he will have missed out on more than half of the $24.5m deal he signed as a Rookie. In fact, to put things into perspective, he will have made just $2m in incentives, out of a potential $17m.

Money isn't everything, and let's not get into a situation where we feel sorry for millionaires, but the fact remains that Rodgers could find himself out of the league in 3 years time, and have earned a fraction of his likely earnings, if he does not get a chance to prove his worth as a starter in the NFL soon.

For some, that 'Big second contract' can't come round soon enough. For Aaron Rodgers, it is looming up all too quickly on the horizon of his career.

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